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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
49.81% ( 0.01) | 23.9% ( -0.02) | 26.29% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.59% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.99% ( 0.08) | 45% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.64% ( 0.08) | 67.36% ( -0.08) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.86% ( 0.04) | 18.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.89% ( 0.06) | 49.11% ( -0.06) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% ( 0.05) | 30.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.85% ( 0.05) | 67.15% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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