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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Augsburg |
69.32% | 17.85% | 12.83% |
Both teams to score 53.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.02% | 37.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.76% | 60.24% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.1% | 9.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.21% | 32.79% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.84% | 41.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.3% | 77.7% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Augsburg |
2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 7.46% 4-0 @ 4.86% 4-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 4.82% Total : 69.32% | 1-1 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.29% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.85% | 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.62% 0-2 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.53% Total : 12.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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