Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Jun 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Castelao
Ceara1 - 2Bahia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Bahia |
| 41.19% | 26.14% | 32.66% |
| Both teams to score 53.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
