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Estudiantes
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Defensa y Justicia

Estudiantes
2 - 1
Defensa

Zapiola (31'), Zuqui (68')
Nunez (63'), Zapiola (73'), Rollheiser (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cardona (74' pen.)
Caceres (58'), Cardona (80'), Sant'Anna (87'), Castellani (90')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Estudiantes
Saturday, October 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-2 Racing
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawDefensa y Justicia
50.59% (-0.129 -0.13) 26.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 22.83% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 45.14% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (0.052000000000007 0.05)58.35% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (0.041 0.04)78.96% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)23.19% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-0.052 -0.05)57.08% (0.055 0.05)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77% (0.147 0.15)41.23% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24% (0.128 0.13)77.76% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 50.59%
    Defensa y Justicia 22.83%
    Draw 26.58%
EstudiantesDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.97% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.59%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 22.83%

Head to Head
May 14, 2023 6pm
Sep 20, 2022 1.30am
Oct 16, 2021 1.15am
Second Phase
Defensa
2-1
Estudiantes
Merentiel (22'), Bou (71')
Colombo (41')
Del Prete (51')
Tobio (61')
Feb 17, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 20
Estudiantes
1-2
Defensa
Retegui (82')
Rojo (30'), Mascherano (40'), Diaz (83')
Pizzini (21'), Botta (63')
Acevedo (45'), Breitenbruch (74'), Mainero (86')
Nov 18, 2018 10.20pm
Gameweek 6
Defensa
1-1
Estudiantes
Rojas (15')
Rius (12')
Ariel Noguera (21')
Brana (64'), Albertengo (75')
Pavone (46'), Brana (80')
rhs 2.0
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