Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
39.5% ( 0.24) | 24.63% ( 0.13) | 35.87% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.97% ( -0.67) | 44.03% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.59% ( -0.65) | 66.41% ( 0.65) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% ( -0.18) | 22.24% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( -0.26) | 55.67% ( 0.26) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( -0.51) | 24.13% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( -0.72) | 58.44% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.5% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 35.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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