Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
46.92% ( 0.19) | 24.95% ( -0.07) | 28.13% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.74% ( 0.21) | 48.26% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( 0.19) | 70.41% ( -0.19) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( 0.17) | 20.61% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% ( 0.27) | 53.16% ( -0.27) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% ( 0.02) | 31.17% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.5% ( 0.03) | 67.5% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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