Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
48.45% ( 0.13) | 20.9% ( 0.07) | 30.64% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 71.12% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.57% ( -0.46) | 27.42% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.97% ( -0.58) | 48.02% ( 0.57) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( -0.13) | 12.13% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% ( -0.27) | 37.71% ( 0.27) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% ( -0.33) | 19.06% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.34% ( -0.56) | 50.65% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |