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Young Boys
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de Suisse
Villarreal logo

Young Boys
1 - 4
Villarreal

Elia (77')
Aebischer (45')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pino (6'), Moreno (16'), Moreno (88'), Chukwueze (90+2')
Rulli (87')

Preview: Young Boys vs. Villarreal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Young Boys and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides who are slightly underperforming in the early stages of their respective leagues meet in the Champions League on Wednesday, as Young Boys welcome Villarreal to The Wankdorf Stadium.

The Swiss side are currently third in the Swiss Super League - which they have won in each of the past four seasons - and their opponents find themselves in the bottom half of La Liga.


Match preview

Young Boys players celebrate after the match on September 14, 2021© Reuters

Underperforming is perhaps a slightly harsh description for Young Boys, who are just four points off Basel in top spot with a game in hand, but their standards are very high in their native league.

YB were able to rescue a point in their most recent game at home to Luzern through a stoppage-time goal from Moumi Ngamaleu, after having fallen behind to a penalty on the half-hour mark and then spent almost an hour playing with 10 men thanks to a red card for Christopher Martins.

Whilst they are favourites in the Super League, David Wagner's side are underdogs in Champions League Group F, but that did not stop them producing a shock 2-1 giant-killing of Manchester United in the opening match, aided by Aaron Wan-Bissaka's dismissal in the first half.

They were then somewhat brought back down to earth in the second game, however, as they lost 1-0 away to Atalanta BC when Matteo Pessina became the first Italian to score for the Serie A side in the Champions League.

Nonetheless, Young Boys still sit second in the group and a win on Wednesday would put them in a strong position to reach the knockout stages for the first time in their history.

Villarreal's Yeremi Pino celebrates after winning the Europa League on May 26, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal will be desperate to win themselves, though, as anything else will leave them with a mountain to climb in the second round of group fixtures.

A 2-2 draw with Atalanta in their opening game was a reasonable start to proceedings - although they would have been disappointed to give up the lead in the 83rd minute.

However, their second game featured a Manchester United turnaround as the Red Devils got their revenge four months after losing to Villarreal in the Europa League final - Alex Telles equalising on the hour mark and Cristiano Ronaldo grabbing the winner in the 95th minute.

That leaves the Yellow Submarine with just one point to show for their endeavours, bottom of Group F, and on a less-than-ideal run of form in all competitions.

Unai Emery's men started the season slowly, drawing five of their six opening La Liga matches, and a 2-1 loss at home to Osasuna at the weekend - again, thanks to a late winner - sees them down in 11th in the standings and with an unfortunate habit developing of dropping points just before the final whistle.

Young Boys Champions League form:
  • W
  • L

Young Boys form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Villarreal Champions League form:
  • D
  • L

Villarreal form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Villarreal's Gerard Moreno celebrates scoring against Manchester United in the Europa League final on May 26, 2021© Reuters

Young Boys have something of an injury crisis on their hands, with six players sidelined ahead of Wednesday's game.

Fabian Lustenberger, Esteban Petignat and Jean-Pierre Nsame are long-term absences with either ACL or Achilles injuries, whilst it looks slightly too early for Joel Monteiro (knee), Cedric Zesiger (foot) or Leandro Zbinden (muscle) to return.

This is not a new crisis, though, and Wagner could, in fact, name an unchanged starting XI from the last Champions League game.

Villarreal, on the other hand, have no such injury worries and Emery has the luxury of a full squad to choose from.

Francis Coquelin returns from suspension but may not break into the XI, which looks set to line up in a 4-3-3 formation with Gerard Moreno leading the line.

Young Boys possible starting lineup:
Von Ballmoos; Hefti, Camara, Lauper, Garcia; Aebischer, Pereira, Sierro; Elia, Siebatcheu, Ngamaleu

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Rulli; Foyth, Albiol, Torres, Moreno; Trigueros, Parejo, Capoue; Danjuma, Moreno, Pino


SM words green background

We say: Young Boys 1-1 Villarreal

Villarreal may not be in the best form right now, but they have still lost just once in five away matches this season. Young Boys will test them and have been strong at home, but we are backing Emery's side to hang on for yet another draw.






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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Young Boys vs Villarreal

Young Boys
36.9%
Draw
22.2%
Villarreal
40.8%
306
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Manchester United's Paul Pogba hugs Aaron Wan-Bissaka after he was shown a red card against Young Boys on September 14, 2021
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