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Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Argentina national football team

Peru
0 - 2
Argentina


Yotun (45'), Advincula (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Messi (32', 42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's South American World Cup qualification clash between Peru and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up in Tuesday's World Cup qualification fixture with Peru.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 2-0 Peru
Friday, October 13 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Paraguay
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Peru 0-2 Argentina

Peru are capable of making this an uncomfortable game for Argentina, but it is very difficult to imagine anything other than an away win on Tuesday. Argentina have so much quality throughout their side and should have too much for their opponents in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
PeruDrawArgentina
20.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 52.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.86% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.85% (-0.209 -0.21)61.15% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (-0.156 -0.16)81.1% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67% (-0.175 -0.17)45.33% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8% (-0.14 -0.14)81.19% (0.14 0.14)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)23.44% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (-0.134 -0.13)57.44% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Peru 20.46%
    Argentina 52.74%
    Draw 26.79%
PeruDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.46%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 10.62% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 15.41% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 11.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 52.74%

How you voted: Peru vs Argentina

Peru
11.9%
Draw
13.6%
Argentina
74.6%
59
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2021 12.30am
Nov 18, 2020 12.30am
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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