MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 17:11:43| >> :600:446009:446009:
England national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Poland national football team

England
2 - 1
Poland

Kane (19' pen.), Maguire (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moder (58')
Milik (46')

The Match

Match Report

Gareth Southgate's side have won their opening three World Cup qualifiers.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between England and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for their World Cup Qualifying clash with Poland on Wednesday evening.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Poland had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 3-1 (6.81%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England in this match.

Result
EnglandDrawPoland
56.35%20.5%23.15%
Both teams to score 65.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.87%32.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.29%53.72%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.51%11.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.64%36.37%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67%26.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54%61.47%
Score Analysis
    England 56.35%
    Poland 23.15%
    Draw 20.5%
EnglandDrawPoland
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 6.81%
1-0 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 4.55%
4-1 @ 3.69%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 1.09%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 3.03%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.5%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-1 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 23.15%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2013 8pm
Oct 17, 2012 4pm
rhs 2.0
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
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