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England national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Denmark national football team

England
0 - 1
Denmark


Maguire (5'), Henderson (85'), Phillips (87')
Maguire (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eriksen (35' pen.)
Christensen (38'), Hojbjerg (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Denmark ended England's two-year unbeaten home record.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between England and Denmark, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
EnglandDrawDenmark
48.28%24.63%27.08%
Both teams to score 54.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4%47.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19%69.8%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23%19.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19%51.81%
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98%68.02%
Score Analysis
    England 48.28%
    Denmark 27.08%
    Draw 24.63%
EnglandDrawDenmark
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 48.28%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.2%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.08%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2020 8pm
International Friendlies
England
P-P
Denmark
Mar 5, 2014 8pm
International Friendlies
England
1-0
Denmark
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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