MX23RW : Friday, May 10 09:16:02| >> :600:588962:588962:
Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Paraguay national football team

Chile
0 - 0
Paraguay


Maripan (22'), Medel (78')
Mendez (88')
FT

Gomez (38'), Caballero (71'), Rojas (78')
Rojas (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 3-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 17 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Bolivia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Chile 2-0 Paraguay

Despite their disappointing defeat to Venezuela in the last round of games, Chile do boast more quality throughout their squad than the visitors, particularly with Almiron sidelined, and La Roja should fancy themselves to return to winning ways on home soil on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 73.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 7.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.45%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.12%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
ChileDrawParaguay
73.98% (0.858 0.86) 18.28% (-0.259 -0.26) 7.74% (-0.595 -0.6)
Both teams to score 33.35% (-1.653 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (-0.755 -0.76)54.1% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (-0.635 -0.63)75.53% (0.637 0.64)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.81% (0.028999999999996 0.03)13.19% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.1% (0.053000000000004 0.05)39.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.42% (-1.916 -1.92)61.58% (1.919 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.56% (-0.957 -0.96)91.44% (0.96000000000001 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Chile 73.96%
    Paraguay 7.74%
    Draw 18.28%
ChileDrawParaguay
2-0 @ 16.66% (0.52 0.52)
1-0 @ 16.45% (0.5 0.5)
3-0 @ 11.25% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.26 -0.26)
4-0 @ 5.7% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 73.96%
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.238 0.24)
1-1 @ 7.98% (-0.264 -0.26)
2-2 @ 1.96% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.28%
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 1.93% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 0.95% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 7.74%

How you voted: Chile vs Paraguay

Chile
77.1%
Draw
14.3%
Paraguay
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 1.30am
Nov 11, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-1
Chile
Silva (56' og.)
Oct 11, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Chile
2-0
Paraguay
Brereton Diaz (69'), Isla (72')
Aranguiz (23'), Brereton Diaz (42'), Jimenez (54')
Aranguiz (74')

Morel (15'), Perez (23'), Alderete (83')
Alderete (89')
Jun 25, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Chile
0-2
Paraguay

Brereton (45+1'), Medel (56'), Bravo (58')
Samudio (33'), Almiron (58' pen.)
Martinez (78')
Aug 31, 2017 11.30pm
Group Stage
Chile
0-3
Paraguay
Vidal (24' og.), Caceres (55'), Ortiz (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!