Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 8, 2023 at 9am UK
AAMI Park
Usme (51')
Alexandra Arias Rojas (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Colombia Women 2-1 Jamaica Women
The two nations will view Tuesday's encounter as a great chance to reach the quarter-finals, and with the attacking quality of Catalina Usme, Mayra Ramirez and Caicedo in their ranks, we think that Colombia will find a way to unlock the Jamaica defence and claim a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia Women win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Jamaica Women had a probability of 13.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.14%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Jamaica Women win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia Women.
| Result |
| Colombia Women | Draw | Jamaica Women |
63.88% ( 0.27) | 23% ( 0.02) | 13.12% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 38.3% ( -0.74) |
