Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
