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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Sivasspor

Eysseric (42'), Yalcin (79'), Dursun (85')
Keles (57'), Mercan (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Erdal (45+5'), Emre Konak (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, November 5 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-2 Sivasspor

Sivasspor have performed very well away from home in the opening months of the season and there is no reason to think they cannot continue that form on Saturday. The hosts have played neither particularly well nor particularly badly at home this season, but one thing is for sure - they are struggling to score goals, having the fourth-worst record of any team from the bottom half of the Super Lig with just five goals scored so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
41.4% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 24.93% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 33.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.47% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19% (0.036999999999999 0.04)45.81% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (0.035 0.04)68.12% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (0.055999999999997 0.06)55.44% (-0.058 -0.06)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 41.4%
    Sivasspor 33.67%
    Draw 24.93%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.4%
1-1 @ 11.71%
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.67%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Karagumruk
4-3
Sivasspor
Diagne (45+4', 53', 80'), Ozdoyev (69')
Caicedo (27'), James (90+1', 90+6')
Sep 3, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 5
Sivasspor
0-0
Karagumruk
Ciftci (12')
Ciftci (88')
Dursun (44'), Borini (45+1')
Feb 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Karagumruk
1-0
Sivasspor
Borini (68' pen.)
Durmaz (87'), Bekaroglu (90+1')

Cofie (44'), Ciftci (67'), Gradel (90'), Atakan Kesgin (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Sivasspor
4-0
Karagumruk
Kayode (1'), Goutas (50'), Felix (56'), Gradel (71')

Zukanovic (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 30
Sivasspor
1-0
Karagumruk
Arslan (45+1')
Fajr (63')

Biglia (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray36323189246599
2Fenerbahce36296192316193
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor361941364481661
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul361771251401158
5BesiktasBesiktas36167134943655
6KasimpasaKasimpasa36157146064-452
7AlanyasporAlanyaspor361214105148350
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor36147154856-849
9SivassporSivasspor361212124252-1048
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor361112134147-645
11Adana Demirspor361014125153-244
12Samsunspor36119164048-842
13KayserisporKayserispor361111144153-1241
14KonyasporKonyaspor36913143748-1140
15AnkaragucuAnkaragucu36815134448-439
16GaziantepGaziantep36108184656-1038
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk36910174548-337
18Hatayspor36813154150-937
19Pendikspor3699184272-3036
RIstanbulspor3647252671-4516


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