Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
31.93% | 23.19% | 44.88% |
Both teams to score 63.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.81% | 38.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.53% | 60.46% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% | 23.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% | 57.7% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.57% | 17.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.12% | 47.88% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 5.94% 2-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 6.28% 1-3 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |