Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
82.57% | 11.2% | 6.23% |
Both teams to score 51.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.56% | 26.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.21% | 46.8% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.32% | 4.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.97% | 19.03% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.6% | 46.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% | 82.03% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
3-0 @ 10.4% 2-0 @ 10.19% 3-1 @ 7.99% 4-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 6.12% 5-0 @ 4.88% 5-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.07% 6-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 2.35% 6-1 @ 1.91% 5-2 @ 1.44% 7-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.47% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 3.01% 0-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.2% | 1-2 @ 1.96% 0-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.6% Total : 6.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |