Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Crotone |
56.55% | 22.72% | 20.73% |
Both teams to score 53.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% | 45.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% | 67.9% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.09% | 15.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.85% | 45.15% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.93% | 36.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.15% | 72.85% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Crotone |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.7% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 5.94% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 56.54% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.85% 1-2 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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