Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
