Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
69.84% | 17.28% | 12.88% |
Both teams to score 55.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.95% | 35.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.95% | 57.05% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91% | 9.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.31% | 30.69% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.85% | 39.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.14% | 75.86% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.49% 3-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 4.94% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.61% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-2 @ 1.05% 6-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.72% Total : 69.83% | 1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.49% 0-0 @ 3.53% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.28% | 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-1 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |