Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
66.78% | 19.26% | 13.96% |
Both teams to score 51.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% | 41.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% | 64.3% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% | 11.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.33% | 36.67% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.02% | 41.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.58% | 78.42% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 11.3% 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 4.36% 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.69% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.24% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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