Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Sampdoria |
67.99% ( -0.63) | 19.72% ( 0.29) | 12.29% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 44.99% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.25% ( -0.37) | 47.74% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.06% ( -0.35) | 69.93% ( 0.34) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.97% ( -0.3) | 13.03% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.42% ( -0.61) | 39.58% ( 0.61) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.73% ( 0.36) | 48.26% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.57% ( 0.26) | 83.42% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.72% | 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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