Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
25.53% | 24.77% | 49.7% |
Both teams to score 53.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.67% | 49.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% | 71.37% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.23% | 33.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.56% | 70.43% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% | 19.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% | 51.98% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 7.28% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.53% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-3 @ 4.72% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.85% Total : 49.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |