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Scottish Premiership
Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Motherwell
1 - 2
Aberdeen

McKinstry (55')
Lamie (44'), Spittal (53'), Goss (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')
Lopes (33'), Miovski (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-4 Celtic
Wednesday, October 19 at 6.15pm in Scottish League Cup

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Partick
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Motherwell 1-2 Aberdeen

 In a match that will be loaded with plenty of goalscoring opportunities, we expect an entertaining clash that will go right to the wire. This time around, Aberdeen will secure the three points and continue to move in the right direction in the Scottish Premiership. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
26.71% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 25.63% (0.099 0.1) 47.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (-0.436 -0.44)52% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (-0.379 -0.38)73.74% (0.377 0.38)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.75% (-0.274 -0.27)34.25% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (-0.294 -0.29)70.94% (0.291 0.29)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (-0.20599999999999 -0.21)21.83% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (-0.309 -0.31)55.05% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 26.71%
    Aberdeen 47.65%
    Draw 25.63%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.079 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.71%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.66% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 47.65%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Motherwell
35.7%
Draw
7.1%
Aberdeen
57.1%
14
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Motherwell
1-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (68')
Shields (31'), Mugabi (45+4'), Donnelly (52'), Lamie (90+2')
Besuijen (34')
McCrorie (3'), Gallagher (45+4'), Ferguson (83')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Motherwell
2-1
Aberdeen
Van Veen (34'), Shields (45+3')
van Veen (35'), Carroll (83')
Ramirez (3')
Hayes (32'), Gallagher (35'), Brown (69')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
0-2
Motherwell

Ferguson (42'), McCrorie (77'), Ojo (90+2')
Van Veen (50', 57')
Maguire (21'), van Veen (22'), Roberts (36'), McGinley (64'), Mugabi (76')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
2-0
Aberdeen
Van Veen (26'), Ojala (59')
van Veen (27'), Woolery (36'), O'Hara (44'), Grimshaw (72'), Watt (84')

Ferguson (58'), McCrorie (90+1'), Brown (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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