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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Dundee United

Hearts
4 - 1
Dundee Utd

Shankland (1'), McKay (48'), Grant (62'), Ginnelly (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fletcher (71' pen.)
Cudjoe (19'), McGrath (54'), Graham (64'), Edwards (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 7 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: AZ 7-0 Dundee Utd
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Hearts 2-1 Dundee United

Although Hearts were denied a derby day victory, they will be pleased with four points from their opening two games, and we think that they will record their second win of the season against a Dundee United side who will be low on confidence after Thursday's performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee United
63.84% (5.518 5.52) 21.47% (-2.451 -2.45) 14.68% (-3.071 -3.07)
Both teams to score 46.02% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.1% (4.464 4.46)49.89% (-4.469 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11% (3.85 3.85)71.89% (-3.854 -3.85)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (3.464 3.46)14.97% (-3.469 -3.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59% (6.209 6.21)43.4% (-6.213 -6.21)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (-1.394 -1.39)45.87% (1.39 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.38% (-1.11 -1.11)81.62% (1.106 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 63.84%
    Dundee United 14.68%
    Draw 21.47%
HeartsDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 13.04% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-0 @ 12.38% (0.66 0.66)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.155 0.15)
3-0 @ 7.84% (1.234 1.23)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.758 0.76)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.929 0.93)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.638 0.64)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.212 0.21)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.469 0.47)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.214 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.336 0.34)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 63.84%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-1.07 -1.07)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-1.335 -1.34)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-1.293 -1.29)
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.59 -0.59)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.606 -0.61)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 14.68%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Hearts
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Dundee United
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-3
Hearts
Levitt (4'), Edwards (65')
Mochrie (68'), Graham (89')
Boyce (44'), Ginnelly (59'), Simms (83')
Boyce (3'), Moore (45+1'), Haring (90+1'), Woodburn (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Smith (46'), Clark (57' pen.)
Butcher (32'), McDonald (54'), Graham (82'), McNulty (85')
Boyce (1'), Halkett (81')
Halkett (23'), Simms (39'), Ginnelly (65')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hearts
5-2
Dundee Utd
Woodburn (22', 50'), Cochrane (25'), Kingsley (76'), McEneff (86')
Edwards (34'), Clark (62')
Siegrist (26'), Fuchs (75'), Edwards (80')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dundee Utd
0-2
Hearts

Levitt (39'), Robson (44')
Boyce (45+1'), Gnanduillet (90')
Halliday (55'), Baningime (83')
Jul 12, 2019 7.45pm
Group A
Hearts
1-1
Dundee Utd
Hearts win 5-3 on penalties
Irving (44')
Bozanic (86')
Irving (83')
Shankland (9')
Connolly (37'), Sporle (43'), Bouhenna (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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