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Celtic logo
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Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Aberdeen
0 - 1
Kilmarnock


Shinnie (45'), Hayes (65'), Gartenmann (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Watson (90+2')
McKenzie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Kilmarnock

Despite failing to win in their last five matches, Aberdeen have produced decent displays against Rangers and Helsinki during the past fortnight, so the Dons should be confident of collecting the points on Wednesday. Kilmarnock are notoriously poor on their Premiership travels, meaning we are predicting McInnes's return to Pittodrie to be an unhappy one for those of a Killie persuasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
43.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.68% (-0.012 -0.01) 31.06% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.97% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.07% (0.049999999999997 0.05)49.93% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.91% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.036999999999992 0.04)22.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.053000000000004 0.05)56.76% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.93% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 43.26%
    Kilmarnock 31.06%
    Draw 25.68%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 31.06%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Aberdeen
58.8%
Draw
23.5%
Kilmarnock
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Vassell (45+5'), Watkins (64')
Lyons (85')

Gartenmann (45+1'), Shinnie (45+3'), Sokler (89')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Aberdeen
2-0
Kilmarnock
Lopes (1', 59')
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
2-1
Aberdeen
Robinson (31'), Wright (42')
Kennedy (90+1')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
4-1
Kilmarnock
Besuijen (22'), Miovski (24' pen., 45'), Stewart (63')
Taylor (27')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aberdeen
1-0
Kilmarnock
Hendry (21')
McGinn (51')

Dabo (40'), McGowan (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic330087285987
2RangersRangers320179275281
3Hearts311149371266
4Kilmarnock31114538755
5St Mirren31024247-546
6Dundee30034662-1641
Relegation Group
1Aberdeen33004149-844
2Motherwell32015554143
3Hibernian31024858-1042
4Ross County31023564-2933
5St Johnstone30032652-2631
RLivingston32012764-3724
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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