La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico3 - 1Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Granada
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic really have to avoid defeat here if they are to stay in the top-four race, but it will be difficult considering Atletico's excellent home record this season. We were close to backing a narrow success for Simeone's side but have ultimately settled on a 1-1 draw, which would not be a bad result for either side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
43.85% ( -0.03) | 25.66% ( -0) | 30.49% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
