Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
38.07% ( 0.83) | 27.17% ( 0.19) | 34.75% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 50.26% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.85% ( -0.82) | 55.14% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.61% ( -0.68) | 76.39% ( 0.68) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( 0.1) | 28.09% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( 0.12) | 63.75% ( -0.12) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( -1.04) | 30.1% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( -1.27) | 66.24% ( 1.27) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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