Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Vizela win it was 2-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
12.25% | 17.42% | 70.33% |
Both teams to score 52.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.58% | 37.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.36% | 59.64% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.29% | 41.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.82% | 78.18% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.49% | 9.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.12% | 31.88% |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 3.57% 1-0 @ 3.47% 2-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.22% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.25% | 1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.2% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.42% | 0-2 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 7.53% 0-4 @ 5.07% 1-4 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-5 @ 2.39% 1-5 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.94% 0-6 @ 0.94% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |