Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 1 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Sporting Lisbon | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Porto | 1 | 4 | 3 |
5 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
14.69% ( -0.18) | 20.16% ( -0.11) | 65.15% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.65% ( 0.12) | 44.35% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% ( 0.12) | 66.72% ( -0.11) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.54% ( -0.18) | 42.46% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.17% ( -0.15) | 78.83% ( 0.15) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.18% ( 0.12) | 12.82% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.84% ( 0.25) | 39.15% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.69% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.16% | 0-2 @ 11.48% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.86% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 65.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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