Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
30.96% | 27.89% | 41.14% |
Both teams to score 47.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.43% | 58.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.86% | 79.14% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% | 34.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% | 71.17% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% | 27.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% | 63.62% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.25% Total : 30.96% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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