Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.62%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 4.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 4-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.48%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
85.62% ( -0.06) | 9.65% ( 0.03) | 4.72% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.31% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.44% ( -0.06) | 25.56% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.36% ( -0.07) | 45.64% ( 0.07) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.94% ( -0.02) | 4.06% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.94% ( -0.06) | 17.06% ( 0.06) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.31% ( 0.05) | 50.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.87% ( 0.04) | 85.12% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
3-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 10.55% 4-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0) 5-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 85.62% | 1-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 9.65% | 1-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 4.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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