Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Belenenses |
42.67% | 28.62% | 28.7% |
Both teams to score 44.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.19% | 61.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.4% | 81.59% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% | 28.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% | 64.52% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.05% | 37.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.28% | 74.72% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 8.22% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.59% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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