Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
37.64% | 29.81% | 32.55% |
Both teams to score 42.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.35% | 64.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.35% | 83.65% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% | 33.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.3% | 69.7% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.43% | 36.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.64% | 73.36% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 13.38% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.1% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 12.17% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.89% Total : 32.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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