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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Boavista

Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
Boavista

Jaba (52'), Abascal (78' og.), Kikas (84')
Luiz (31'), Cordeiro (36'), Gaspar (63'), Almeida (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavares (74')
Ferreira (25'), Perez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Boavista

Despite their disappointing performance, last weekend's draw saw Estrela end a three-game losing streak and they will head into Sunday's tie looking to build on that result. The Tricolores take on an out-of-sorts Boavista side and we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
29.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.012 0.01)72.12% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.51% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 29.93%
    Boavista 44.43%
    Draw 25.62%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.43%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Boavista

Estrela Amadora
40.0%
Draw
33.3%
Boavista
26.7%
30
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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