Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
36.63% ( -0.09) | 25.15% ( -0.02) | 38.23% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.65% ( 0.1) | 46.35% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( 0.1) | 68.63% ( -0.1) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% ( 0) | 24.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.64% ( 0) | 59.36% ( -0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( 0.11) | 23.92% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0.15) | 58.14% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 38.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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