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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Leicester logo

Aston Villa
2 - 4
Leicester

Watkins (9'), Souttar (32' og.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Maddison (12'), Iheanacho (41'), Tete (45+2'), Praet (79')
Castagne (56'), Soyuncu (86'), Tielemans (88')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City twice come from behind to record a 4-2 win over Aston Villa in Saturday afternoon's Premier League clash at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
44.41% (1.988 1.99) 25.06% (-0.221 -0.22) 30.53% (-1.769 -1.77)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (0.283 0.28)47.47% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.262 0.26)69.68% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (1.045 1.05)21.39% (-1.047 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (1.589 1.59)54.38% (-1.591 -1.59)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (-1.025 -1.03)29.06% (1.023 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (-1.286 -1.29)64.97% (1.284 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.41%
    Leicester City 30.53%
    Draw 25.05%
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.367 0.37)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.158 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.53%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leicester

Aston Villa
64.6%
Draw
18.4%
Leicester City
17.0%
147
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Feb 21, 2021 2.05pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Leicester
Traore (48')
Luiz (51'), Elmohamady (59')
Maddison (19'), Barnes (23')
Ndidi (34')
Oct 18, 2020 7.15pm
Leicester
0-1
Aston Villa

Perez (31'), Tielemans (41'), Castagne (73'), Evans (74')
Barkley (90+1')
McGinn (32'), Cash (40'), Luiz (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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