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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Rakow

Jagiellonia
4 - 2
Rakow

Naranjo (12', 33'), Nene (46', 63')
Romanczuk (56'), Naranjo (74'), Pululu (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Svarnas (22'), Zwolinski (86')
Berggren (52')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-2 Jagiellonia
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
41.38% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 31.89% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (0.469 0.47)53.94% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (0.393 0.39)75.39% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.11799999999999 0.12)25.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.16 0.16)60.62% (-0.163 -0.16)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.434 0.43)31.39% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (0.499 0.5)67.76% (-0.503 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.37%
    Rakow Czestochowa 31.89%
    Draw 26.73%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Rakow
3-0
Jagiellonia
Zwolinski (45+2', 63' pen.), Nowak (65')

Pululu (9'), Nastic (10'), Imaz Balleste (30'), Nene (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia33179774452960
2Slask Wroclaw33179748301860
3Legia WarsawLegia331511749381156
4Lech Poznan33141184639753
5Gornik ZabrzeGornik33158104540553
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin331571158382052
7Rakow CzestochowaRakow331410953371652
8Zaglebie Lubin32128124047-744
9Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice3391683834443
10Widzew Lodz33127144245-343
11Stal Mielec331110124045-543
12KS CracoviaCracovia33815104544139
13Radomiak Radom33108154055-1538
14Warta Poznan33910143340-737
15Puszcza Niepolomice33813123849-1137
16Korona Kielce33714123843-535
17Ruch Chorzow33514143855-1729
18LKS Lodz3256213071-4121


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