Kosovo

3 - 2

N. Ireland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.