Nations League | League B
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-1 Montenegro
This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with plenty on the line for both sides. It would certainly not be a surprise to see an away victory or a draw, but we just have a feeling that Bosnia will do enough to secure a huge three points in the section.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bosnia-Herzegovina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bosnia-Herzegovina.
| Result |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Montenegro |
46.42% ( -0.16) | 25.19% ( 0) | 28.39% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.1) |
| 50.88% ( 0.08) | 49.11% ( -0.09) |
| 28.81% ( 0.07) | 71.19% ( -0.08) |
| 78.82% ( -0.04) | 21.18% ( 0.04) |
