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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Austria national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 6, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
 
Denmark national football team

Austria
1 - 2
Denmark

Schlager (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hojbjerg (28'), Stryger Larsen (84')
Poulsen (35'), Jensen (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Austria and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

Last Six:
Last Game: Austria 1-2 Denmark
Monday, June 6 at 9.15pm in Nations League
Next Game: Austria vs. France
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Denmark

Last Six:
Last Game: Austria 1-2 Denmark
Monday, June 6 at 9.15pm in Nations League
Next Game: Denmark vs. Croatia
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Austria 1-1 Denmark

 Morale could hardly be higher in either camp right now, but the two sets of players will both be battling jellied legs following Friday's exploits, and both Rangnick and Hjulmand will be wary of the fixtures still to come when selecting their XIs. Denmark may have swept aside Austria during World Cup qualification, but keeping out Das Team's prolific attackers is a tall order, and we can only see the visitors' year-long run without a draw ending as the two sides shake hands on a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Austria had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawDenmark
34.11% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 25.51% (0.012 0.01) 40.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)48.27% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (-0.052 -0.05)70.42% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)62.55% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)23.67% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)57.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Austria 34.11%
    Denmark 40.38%
    Draw 25.5%
AustriaDrawDenmark
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.38%

How you voted: Austria vs Denmark

Austria
22.2%
Draw
21.5%
Denmark
56.3%
279
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Group F
Denmark
1-0
Austria
Maehle (53')
Wass (31')

Trimmel (47'), Sabitzer (90+1')
Mar 31, 2021 7.45pm
Group F
Austria
0-4
Denmark
Skov Olsen (58', 74'), Maehle (63'), Hojbjerg (67')
Wind (60')
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
Denmark
2-0
Austria
Lerager (29'), Braithwaite (90')

Hinteregger (9'), Wimmer (53')
rhs 2.0
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