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Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Nashville

Toronto
1 - 1
Nashville

Insigne (38')
Mabika (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leal (69')
Bauer (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Nashville
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Nashville SC

All of the previous matches between these two have been decided by a goal or fewer, and we anticipate another tight one on Saturday between two clubs who have found a way to rack up some points in recent weeks.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
38.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.32% (0.064 0.06) 34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27% (-0.253 -0.25)55.73% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (-0.206 -0.21)76.87% (0.208 0.21)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)28.37% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (-0.168 -0.17)64.11% (0.17 0.17)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.152 -0.15)30.49% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.184 -0.18)66.71% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.07%
    Nashville SC 34.6%
    Draw 27.32%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.07%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 34.6%

How you voted: Toronto vs Nashville

Toronto
47.4%
Draw
26.3%
Nashville SC
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 33
Toronto
2-1
Nashville

Bradley (39')

Lovitz (32')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 12
Nashville
3-2
Toronto
Maher (62'), Haakenson (83', 90+2')
Osorio (26'), Mullins (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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