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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Toronto FC

Austin
1 - 0
Toronto

Zardes (90+1')
Pereira (28'), Finlay (37'), Ring (75'), Djeffal (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Servania (35'), Franklin (53'), Kaye (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-0 Toronto

 The Verde and Black should feel pretty confident following their victory on Wednesday, and given all the uncertainty in Toronto at the moment, not just with their form but the health of multiple key players, it is hard to envision the Reds miraculously turn things around so quickly.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result
Austin FCDrawToronto
59.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 21.31% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 18.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.09% (0.062999999999995 0.06)41.91% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.69% (0.063000000000002 0.06)64.31% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)13.64% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.19% (0.065000000000005 0.07)40.81% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)35.83% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (0.016000000000002 0.02)72.61% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 59.78%
    Toronto 18.91%
    Draw 21.31%
Austin FCDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 59.78%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 18.91%

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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104338221634
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls156632521424
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166551413123
7Toronto167272424023
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10Orlando City155461622-619
11DC United164662328-518
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154471817116
13CF MontrealMontreal154472033-1316
14Chicago Fire162591428-1411
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin166642018224
6Colorado RapidsColorado166552726123
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver155552017320
8Houston DynamoHouston155461315-219
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland164572830-217
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152672226-412
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111
> Full Version


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