Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.