Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 16 | -1 | 19 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 17 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | -12 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Chicago Fire |
59.94% ( -0.3) | 21.79% ( 0.18) | 18.27% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% ( -0.63) | 45.03% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% ( -0.6) | 67.38% ( 0.6) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( -0.3) | 14.61% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% ( -0.58) | 42.72% ( 0.58) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.63% ( -0.24) | 38.37% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.87% ( -0.23) | 75.13% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.93% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |