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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Portland
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Paredes (45+3'), Evander (58')
Paredes (41'), Bingham (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoppe (60')
Marie (32'), Gruezo (35'), Espinoza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-2 Portland
Monday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Portland are currently experiencing a fine run of form, and after beating San Jose on home turf in July, we think that they will draw upon that experience to claim maximum points in Wednesday's contest.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
61.46% (-0.104 -0.1) 20.71% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 17.83% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.118 -0.12)40.94% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.121 -0.12)63.33% (0.119 0.12)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)12.84% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81% (-0.137 -0.14)39.18% (0.134 0.13)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-0.012 -0.01)36.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 61.46%
    San Jose Earthquakes 17.83%
    Draw 20.71%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 61.46%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.83%

How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes

Portland Timbers
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-0
Portland
Cowell (51'), Marie (54'), Thompson (90+1')
Moreno (18'), Zuparic (44'), Miller (64')
Jul 24, 2022 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Earthquakes
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')
May 19, 2022 3.30am
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Gameweek 42
Portland
2-0
Earthquakes
Paredes (20'), Chara (27'), Asprilla (57')
Lopez (19'), Remedi (50')
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 23
Portland
1-1
Earthquakes
Mora (45+6')
Lopez (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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