The last six meetings between San Jose and Los Angeles have ended with both teams scoring, and we expect Thursday's clash to be no different. That said, we are tipping the hosts to narrowly pip their visitors to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
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