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Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
Orlando City

NY City
2 - 0
Orlando City

Bakrar (37'), Magno (68')
Ledezma (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereyra (45+1'), Cartagena (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 0-2 Orlando City

Over the past couple of months, the Lions have become a well-balanced unit, adding more attacking flair to go along with their disciplined backline, and given their poise away from home and their current form, we believe they will get the job done against the Pigeons. New York City have not played poorly throughout the campaign, but they still look indecisive in the attacking third, which might cost them again on Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
55.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 23.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 21.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 50.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)50.08% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.05% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)18.05% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)48.95% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)38.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)75.09% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.08%
    Orlando City 21.03%
    Draw 23.87%
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 55.08%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 21.03%

How you voted: NY City vs Orlando City

New York City FC
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Orlando City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
May 18, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Carlos (50')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 19
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 6
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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