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Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Minnesota United

NY City
0 - 2
Minnesota Utd


Sands (32'), Pellegrini (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregus (53'), Garcia (90+5')
Trapp (60'), Reynoso (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 Minnesota United

The Pigeons have been underwhelming through much of the 2023 campaign but made some good signings during the secondary transfer window, which should enable them to be more clinical in the attacking third. Meanwhile, Minnesota have been a lot more potent in front of goal lately but not nearly as sharp on the back end, and we expect them to give up as many chances as they create on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
55.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 22.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.68% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)15.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)45.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.39% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.52%
    Minnesota United 21.68%
    Draw 22.79%
New York City FCDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.68%

How you voted: NY City vs Minnesota Utd

New York City FC
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Minnesota United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 8
Minnesota Utd
3-3
NY City
Alonso (13'), Rodriguez (20'), Johnson (32' og.)
Alonso (8'), Calvo (70')
Castellanos (16'), Tajouri (18', 64')
Sep 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 36
Minnesota Utd
2-1
NY City
Rodriguez (20', 36')
Warner (45'), Calvo (54'), Shuttleworth (89')
Warner (77')
Wallace (91')
Ring (21')
Jun 30, 2017 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Callens (38'), Harrison (52'), Villa (63')
Wallace (0'), 68 (0'), Villa (45')
Ramirez (9')
Molino (23'), Venegas (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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