Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for CF Montreal.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.17% ( 2.07) | 23.07% ( -0.26) | 18.76% ( -1.81) |
Both teams to score 49.47% ( -2.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( -1.31) | 49.69% ( 1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( -1.19) | 71.7% ( 1.18) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% ( 0.26) | 16.8% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.23% ( 0.47) | 46.76% ( -0.47) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.45% ( -2.72) | 40.54% ( 2.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.85% ( -2.55) | 77.15% ( 2.54) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |